Cov txheej txheem:

Vim li cas cov kev kwv yees kwv yees muaj tseeb dua?
Vim li cas cov kev kwv yees kwv yees muaj tseeb dua?

Video: Vim li cas cov kev kwv yees kwv yees muaj tseeb dua?

Video: Vim li cas cov kev kwv yees kwv yees muaj tseeb dua?
Video: lub koob tsheej dev thiab lub koob tsheej tseeb sib txawv li cas ? 2024, Kaum ib hlis
Anonim

Aggregate forecasts feem ntau yog tseeb dua dua li disaggregate kev kwv yees vim a. aggregate kev kwv yees yuav muaj ib tug loj tus qauv sib txawv ntawm qhov yuam kev txheeb ze rau qhov txhais tau tias. b. aggregate kev kwv yees zoo li muaj tus qauv me me sib txawv ntawm qhov yuam kev txheeb ze rau qhov txhais tau tias.

Ua kom pom qhov no, qhov kev kwv yees tag nrho yog dab tsi?

Ib aggregate kev kwv yees hais txog lub tuam txhab cov peev txheej uas yuav tsum tau muaj - tus nqi ntawm cov khoom nws xav tau los tsim thiab cov tswv yim los tsim nws - rau lub sijhawm ob mus rau 12 lub hlis tom ntej.

Ib tug kuj yuav nug, dab tsi yog cov yam ntxwv tseem ceeb ntawm kev kwv yees tseeb? Cov Cov yam ntxwv tseem ceeb ntawm kev kwv yees raug yog ib qho kev sib raug zoo, ntawm qhov nruab nrab, nruab nrab ntawm qhov tseeb thiab kwv yees qhov tseem ceeb thiab kev sib raug zoo ntawm qhov tseeb thiab kwv yees series.

Hauv qhov no, vim li cas cov kev kwv yees luv luv yog qhov tseeb dua li kev kwv yees ntev?

Luv luv - lub sij hawm kwv yees yog muaj tseeb tshaj qhov ntev - lub sij hawm kwv yees : A kev kwv yees ntev dua horizon ho nce txoj hauv kev ntawm kev hloov pauv tsis paub rau peb tseem muaj kev cuam tshuam rau yav tom ntej xav tau. Ib qho piv txwv yooj yim yog huab cua-raws li kev thov.

Dab tsi yog cov ntsiab lus ntawm kev kwv yees zoo?

Elements ntawm ib tug zoo FORECAST

  • Kev kwv yees yuav tsum tau raws sijhawm.
  • Kev kwv yees yuav tsum yog qhov tseeb, thiab qhov ntsuas qhov tseeb yuav tsum tau hais.
  • Kev kwv yees yuav tsum ntseeg tau; nws yuav tsum ua haujlwm tsis tu ncua.
  • Cov kev kwv yees yuav tsum tau hais nyob rau hauv cov ntsiab lus units.
  • Kev kwv yees yuav tsum yog sau.

Pom zoo: