Cov paj laum puas yuav poob rau xyoo 2020?
Cov paj laum puas yuav poob rau xyoo 2020?

Video: Cov paj laum puas yuav poob rau xyoo 2020?

Video: Cov paj laum puas yuav poob rau xyoo 2020?
Video: Nas Ej Maiv Thoj Yuav Txiv Lawm Tiag Tiag 20/8/2021 2024, Kaum ib hlis
Anonim

Kev kwv yees rau 2020 hais tus nqi yuav nruab nrab ntawm 3.7%. Tab sis tus nqi tuaj yeem hloov pauv tau zoo nyob ib puag ncig ntawm qhov ntawd. Piv txwv li, tus nqi tuaj yeem dhia ntawm 3.5% thiab 4% txhua xyoo, thiab koj yuav tau txais qhov nruab nrab ntawm 3.7%.

Ib yam li ntawd, koj tuaj yeem nug, cov paj laum yuav zoo li cas hauv 2020?

Qhov nruab nrab tus nqi tas li tej zaum yuav yog 3.6% in 2020 , uas yuav yog qhov nruab nrab qis tshaj txhua xyoo uas tau sau tseg hauv Freddie Mac cov ntaub ntawv rov qab mus rau 1973. Nws piv nrog 3.9% hauv 2019 thiab 4.5% hauv 2018, raws li Fannie Mae. Cov ntaub ntawv tam sim no tau teeb tsa hauv 2016 thaum qhov nruab nrab txhua xyoo poob rau 3.65%.

Ib tug kuj yuav nug, cov paj laum puas yuav qis dua? Poob cov paj laum txhais hais tias cov tsev txhab nyiaj yuav muab qis tus paj laum ntawm lawv cov nyiaj khaws cia thiab nyiaj txiag lag luam. Lwm yam khoom lag luam sib txawv, xws li nyiaj txiag lag luam, yuav kuj tsiv qis.

Ua raws li qhov xav tau, Fed puas yuav nce tus nqi hauv 2020?

Cov Fed txo qis nws qhov kev kwv yees rau kev poob haujlwm tus nqi hauv 2020 mus rau 3.5% los ntawm 3.7%, tab sis kev nce nqi tseem xav tias yuav nyob twj ywm qis dua 2% rau tag nrho lub xyoo. Lub txhab nyiaj kuj tau kwv yees tag nrho cov khoom lag luam hauv tebchaws - kev lag luam loj npaum li cas - yuav nthuav los yog me ntsis qis dua 2% ib xyoos ib zaug rau peb lub xyoos tom ntej.

Puas yog cov paj laum poob qis hauv 2019?

Economists ntawm Freddie Mac kwv yees lub quarter thib plaub ntawm 2019 yuav nruab nrab 3.7% kev txaus siab tus nqi ntawm 30-xyoo, cov nyiaj qiv ruaj khov, nrog 2019 thov qhov nruab nrab 4% tag nrho. Cov nyiaj qiv nyiaj qis qis yuav khaws qiv nyiaj tus nqi subdued hauv tuaj quarters. Txhawb nqa. Qhov qis tus nqi tau ua rau muaj kev nce nyiaj rov qab los ntawm lig.

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